Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Liaoning Cheng Da Co., Ltd. (600739.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DistributionSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.16 - $7.88$6.43
Multi-Stage$7.67 - $8.41$8.03
Blended Fair Value$7.23
Current Price$12.29
Upside-41.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.68%15.57%0.520.590.670.640.480.340.520.330.330.32
YoY Growth---12.03%-11.62%3.69%34.88%39.44%-33.98%55.06%1.95%3.70%158.97%
Dividend Yield--4.96%5.70%5.12%4.01%2.34%1.88%3.39%1.85%1.85%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)862.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)398.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)463.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)172.56107.8564.71
Cash Retained (M)463.89463.89463.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-172.56-107.85-64.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.33356.04399.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,522.311,522.311,522.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.500.52
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate0.02%1.02%2.02%
Fair Value$5.16$6.43$7.88
Upside / Downside-58.01%-47.66%-35.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)862.79871.63880.56889.59898.71907.92935.15
Payout Ratio46.23%54.99%63.74%72.49%81.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)398.90479.28561.27644.89730.17817.12865.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate0.02%1.02%2.02%
Year 1 PV (M)436.11440.47444.83
Year 2 PV (M)464.70474.04483.47
Year 3 PV (M)485.83500.55515.56
Year 4 PV (M)500.52520.84541.77
Year 5 PV (M)509.67535.66562.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,282.199,755.5510,248.03
Equity Value (M)11,679.0212,227.1112,796.37
Shares Outstanding (M)1,522.311,522.311,522.31
Fair Value$7.67$8.03$8.41
Upside / Downside-37.58%-34.65%-31.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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