Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Xinjiang Qingsong Building Materials and Chemicals (Group) Co, Ltd. (600425.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.19 - $7.18$4.62
Multi-Stage$4.15 - $4.54$4.34
Blended Fair Value$4.48
Current Price$4.43
Upside1.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.66%-3.48%0.130.140.190.060.080.120.150.160.180.22
YoY Growth---7.13%-26.78%228.40%-21.85%-34.67%-20.90%-6.05%-12.28%-17.60%14.62%
Dividend Yield--3.34%3.77%4.89%1.35%1.76%3.22%2.93%4.32%2.56%4.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)261.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)199.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.2332.6519.59
Cash Retained (M)61.8561.8561.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.23-32.65-19.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.6229.2142.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,600.181,600.181,600.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Fair Value$3.19$4.62$7.18
Upside / Downside-28.04%4.36%62.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)261.17270.06279.26288.77298.60308.77318.03
Payout Ratio76.32%79.05%81.79%84.53%87.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)199.31213.49228.40244.08260.57277.89294.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Year 1 PV (M)198.34200.27202.21
Year 2 PV (M)197.13201.00204.90
Year 3 PV (M)195.71201.50207.40
Year 4 PV (M)194.10201.79209.71
Year 5 PV (M)192.31201.88211.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,655.445,937.026,229.70
Equity Value (M)6,633.026,943.467,265.76
Shares Outstanding (M)1,600.181,600.181,600.18
Fair Value$4.15$4.34$4.54
Upside / Downside-6.43%-2.05%2.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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