Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CATRION Catering Holding Company (6004.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.98 - $19.78$17.49
Multi-Stage$44.66 - $49.51$47.03
Blended Fair Value$32.26
Current Price$99.45
Upside-67.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.90%-10.17%2.251.500.000.001.386.833.975.446.886.89
YoY Growth--50.44%315,846.96%-51.48%-99.93%-79.81%72.19%-27.15%-20.90%-0.08%4.64%
Dividend Yield--1.88%1.18%0.00%0.00%1.81%9.05%4.90%6.59%7.66%6.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)335.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)187.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.1941.9925.19
Cash Retained (M)148.15148.15148.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.19-41.99-25.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.96106.16122.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.0082.0082.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.991.291.50
LTM Dividend per Share2.292.292.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.991.291.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.283.583.79
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-12.17%-11.17%-10.17%
Fair Value$14.98$17.49$19.78
Upside / Downside-84.93%-82.42%-80.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)335.93298.39265.04235.42209.12185.75191.32
Payout Ratio55.90%62.72%69.54%76.36%83.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)187.78187.14184.31179.77173.94167.17176.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-12.17%-11.17%-10.17%
Year 1 PV (M)172.88174.85176.81
Year 2 PV (M)157.28160.88164.52
Year 3 PV (M)141.71146.60151.61
Year 4 PV (M)126.66132.53138.60
Year 5 PV (M)112.45119.00125.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,950.763,122.623,302.40
Equity Value (M)3,661.733,856.484,059.79
Shares Outstanding (M)82.0082.0082.00
Fair Value$44.66$47.03$49.51
Upside / Downside-55.10%-52.71%-50.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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