Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Giti Tire Corporation (600182.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.16 - $81.69$67.79
Multi-Stage$10.71 - $11.70$11.20
Blended Fair Value$39.49
Current Price$15.42
Upside156.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.21%-1.71%0.340.040.110.150.210.200.230.521.010.66
YoY Growth--879.11%-67.38%-27.26%-28.27%2.08%-11.47%-56.09%-48.49%53.53%60.88%
Dividend Yield--2.22%0.25%0.81%1.13%1.42%1.55%1.29%2.01%3.57%3.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)125.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.9217.4510.47
Cash Retained (M)14.0014.0014.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.92-17.45-10.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.92-3.453.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)339.93339.93339.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.16$67.79$81.69
Upside / Downside43.69%339.64%429.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.62148.70158.36168.66179.62191.30197.03
Payout Ratio89.97%89.98%89.98%89.99%89.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)125.62133.79142.50151.77161.65172.17182.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)123.79124.96126.14
Year 2 PV (M)121.99124.31126.66
Year 3 PV (M)120.22123.67127.18
Year 4 PV (M)118.47123.02127.71
Year 5 PV (M)116.74122.38128.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,040.563,187.423,339.90
Equity Value (M)3,641.773,805.773,975.82
Shares Outstanding (M)339.93339.93339.93
Fair Value$10.71$11.20$11.70
Upside / Downside-30.52%-27.40%-24.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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