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Huaneng Power International, Inc. (600011.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.05 - $138.01$49.98
Multi-Stage$25.58 - $28.02$26.78
Blended Fair Value$38.38
Current Price$7.06
Upside443.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.57%-0.39%0.870.710.790.920.840.810.770.891.010.87
YoY Growth--22.80%-10.42%-13.82%9.95%3.70%5.50%-13.56%-12.63%16.94%-4.55%
Dividend Yield--12.63%7.74%9.27%13.34%19.01%17.24%11.49%12.91%14.13%10.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,563.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,358.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,205.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,912.701,820.441,092.26
Cash Retained (M)6,205.376,205.376,205.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,912.70-1,820.44-1,092.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,292.684,384.945,113.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16,377.9616,377.9616,377.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.270.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.270.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Fair Value$28.05$49.98$138.01
Upside / Downside297.31%607.92%1,854.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,563.4815,248.6115,965.9716,717.0817,503.5218,326.9618,876.77
Payout Ratio57.39%63.91%70.43%76.96%83.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,358.119,745.8011,245.5612,864.8514,611.6216,494.2717,461.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)9,077.709,165.239,252.77
Year 2 PV (M)9,756.589,945.6510,136.53
Year 3 PV (M)10,396.3310,699.9911,009.50
Year 4 PV (M)10,998.4611,428.8611,871.77
Year 5 PV (M)11,564.4412,132.8712,723.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)367,146.82385,193.11403,942.14
Equity Value (M)418,940.33438,565.70458,936.14
Shares Outstanding (M)16,377.9616,377.9616,377.96
Fair Value$25.58$26.78$28.02
Upside / Downside262.32%279.29%296.91%

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