Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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MBM Resources Bhd (5983.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.78 - $171.02$129.07
Multi-Stage$21.78 - $23.80$22.77
Blended Fair Value$75.92
Current Price$5.18
Upside1,365.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.95%23.97%0.600.660.370.200.210.150.050.050.060.11
YoY Growth---9.09%78.38%85.00%-4.76%40.00%233.33%0.00%-24.97%-45.45%57.14%
Dividend Yield--11.11%14.22%10.82%6.47%6.12%5.40%1.63%1.84%2.38%5.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)336.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)234.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)101.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.2342.0225.21
Cash Retained (M)101.60101.60101.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.23-42.02-25.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.3759.5876.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)390.89390.89390.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.750.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$44.78$129.07$171.02
Upside / Downside764.43%2,391.76%3,201.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)336.13357.98381.25406.03432.42460.53474.34
Payout Ratio69.77%73.82%77.86%81.91%85.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)234.53264.26296.86332.58371.69414.48438.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)244.37246.69249.01
Year 2 PV (M)253.87258.70263.58
Year 3 PV (M)263.01270.56278.26
Year 4 PV (M)271.83282.28293.03
Year 5 PV (M)280.31293.85307.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,201.037,548.847,909.96
Equity Value (M)8,514.428,900.939,301.75
Shares Outstanding (M)390.89390.89390.89
Fair Value$21.78$22.77$23.80
Upside / Downside320.51%339.60%359.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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