Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Yuan High-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (5474.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,003.32 - $1,183.37$1,108.39
Multi-Stage$646.19 - $712.68$678.78
Blended Fair Value$893.59
Current Price$171.00
Upside422.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.66%5.14%3.503.805.006.663.823.222.802.803.562.97
YoY Growth---7.89%-24.00%-25.00%74.62%18.42%15.15%0.00%-21.43%20.00%40.00%
Dividend Yield--2.24%2.81%5.47%6.90%2.01%5.95%4.40%5.63%6.30%5.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)250.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)159.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.0731.2918.77
Cash Retained (M)91.3091.3091.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.07-31.29-18.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.2460.0172.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.7839.7839.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.041.511.82
LTM Dividend per Share4.004.004.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.041.511.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.035.515.82
WACC / Discount Rate-1.03%-1.03%-1.03%
Growth Rate-0.34%0.66%1.66%
Fair Value$1,003.32$1,108.39$1,183.37
Upside / Downside486.74%548.18%592.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)250.33251.98253.63255.30256.98258.66266.42
Payout Ratio63.53%68.82%74.12%79.41%84.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)159.03173.41187.98202.73217.67232.80246.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.03%-1.03%-1.03%
Growth Rate-0.34%0.66%1.66%
Year 1 PV (M)173.48175.22176.96
Year 2 PV (M)188.13191.92195.76
Year 3 PV (M)202.97209.14215.44
Year 4 PV (M)218.01226.89236.05
Year 5 PV (M)233.25245.19257.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,692.0925,956.0627,271.27
Equity Value (M)25,707.9327,004.4328,353.08
Shares Outstanding (M)39.7839.7839.78
Fair Value$646.19$678.78$712.68
Upside / Downside277.89%296.95%316.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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