Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Nam Liong Global Corporation (5450.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.90 - $12.86$9.34
Multi-Stage$36.37 - $40.18$38.24
Blended Fair Value$23.79
Current Price$14.70
Upside61.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.220.570.530.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---61.54%8.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%2.90%2.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.338.335.00
Cash Retained (M)36.0536.0536.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.33-8.33-5.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.7227.7231.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.73138.73138.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.420.44
WACC / Discount Rate3.45%3.45%3.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.90$9.34$12.86
Upside / Downside-53.03%-36.45%-12.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.6465.9865.3264.6664.0263.3865.28
Payout Ratio45.91%54.73%63.55%72.37%81.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.6036.1141.5146.7951.9757.0460.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.45%3.45%3.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)34.5534.9035.26
Year 2 PV (M)38.0038.7839.57
Year 3 PV (M)40.9942.2643.56
Year 4 PV (M)43.5645.3747.23
Year 5 PV (M)45.7548.1350.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,843.105,095.305,357.89
Equity Value (M)5,045.975,304.755,574.11
Shares Outstanding (M)138.73138.73138.73
Fair Value$36.37$38.24$40.18
Upside / Downside147.43%160.12%173.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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