Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Digital Garage, Inc. (4819.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$669.95 - $1,044.17$842.61
Multi-Stage$1,618.16 - $1,779.64$1,697.32
Blended Fair Value$1,269.97
Current Price$3,615.00
Upside-64.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.00%23.26%41.2237.0835.8432.0838.0428.0523.3520.5230.6325.57
YoY Growth--11.15%3.46%11.74%-15.68%35.61%20.13%13.79%-33.01%19.81%402.19%
Dividend Yield--0.87%1.49%0.93%0.87%0.76%0.82%0.65%0.48%1.45%1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,232.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,428.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)804.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)646.40404.00242.40
Cash Retained (M)804.00804.00804.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-646.40-404.00-242.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.60400.00561.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
LTM Dividend per Share52.8452.8452.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.2761.5465.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$669.95$842.61$1,044.17
Upside / Downside-81.47%-76.69%-71.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,232.003,199.683,167.683,136.013,104.653,073.603,165.81
Payout Ratio75.12%78.10%81.07%84.05%87.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,428.002,498.922,568.182,635.802,701.812,766.242,928.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,328.592,352.352,376.11
Year 2 PV (M)2,230.012,275.762,321.96
Year 3 PV (M)2,132.732,198.692,265.99
Year 4 PV (M)2,037.142,121.572,208.59
Year 5 PV (M)1,943.552,044.762,150.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,687.0967,003.4270,456.49
Equity Value (M)74,359.1177,996.5481,779.29
Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
Fair Value$1,618.16$1,697.32$1,779.64
Upside / Downside-55.24%-53.05%-50.77%

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