Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nippon RAD Inc. (4736.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$477.58 - $676.21$575.67
Multi-Stage$705.05 - $774.60$739.15
Blended Fair Value$657.41
Current Price$767.00
Upside-14.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS-0.90%0.00%4.759.804.984.974.824.970.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---51.53%96.58%0.30%3.07%-2.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.62%1.22%0.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)386.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)333.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77.2348.2728.96
Cash Retained (M)333.81333.81333.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-77.23-48.27-28.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)256.58285.54304.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.285.285.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share48.5554.0357.69
LTM Dividend per Share9.919.919.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share48.5554.0357.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend58.4663.9467.59
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$477.58$575.67$676.21
Upside / Downside-37.73%-24.95%-11.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)386.16382.30378.48374.69370.95367.24378.25
Payout Ratio13.56%28.85%44.13%59.42%74.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.35110.28167.04222.65277.14330.51349.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)99.24100.25101.27
Year 2 PV (M)135.28138.06140.86
Year 3 PV (M)162.28167.30172.42
Year 4 PV (M)181.78189.32197.08
Year 5 PV (M)195.10205.26215.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,952.083,105.803,265.86
Equity Value (M)3,725.763,905.984,093.32
Shares Outstanding (M)5.285.285.28
Fair Value$705.05$739.15$774.60
Upside / Downside-8.08%-3.63%0.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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