Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Jadwa Investment - Jadwa Reit Saudi Fund (4342.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.30 - $43.18$30.62
Multi-Stage$30.66 - $33.56$32.09
Blended Fair Value$31.35
Current Price$10.10
Upside210.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS5.57%0.00%0.800.800.800.660.620.610.390.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%21.07%6.85%1.39%56.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.94%5.97%6.28%4.41%4.42%5.45%4.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)260.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)223.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.1032.5619.54
Cash Retained (M)36.6936.6936.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.10-32.56-19.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)-15.414.1317.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)186.51186.51186.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.020.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.020.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.221.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Fair Value$22.30$30.62$43.18
Upside / Downside120.77%203.13%327.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)260.51268.33276.39284.69293.23302.04311.10
Payout Ratio85.91%86.73%87.55%88.37%89.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)223.81232.73241.97251.56261.51271.84287.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Year 1 PV (M)215.16217.27219.38
Year 2 PV (M)206.82210.90215.01
Year 3 PV (M)198.79204.69210.71
Year 4 PV (M)191.05198.66206.48
Year 5 PV (M)183.60192.78202.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,723.844,959.985,205.47
Equity Value (M)5,719.275,984.286,259.38
Shares Outstanding (M)186.51186.51186.51
Fair Value$30.66$32.09$33.56
Upside / Downside203.61%217.68%232.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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