Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sekisui Jushi Corporation (4212.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$827.68 - $1,183.69$1,002.20
Multi-Stage$1,236.61 - $1,352.13$1,293.28
Blended Fair Value$1,147.74
Current Price$2,165.00
Upside-46.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.76%4.86%69.1476.4885.4980.1671.4471.8364.5658.7753.0950.24
YoY Growth---9.59%-10.54%6.65%12.21%-0.54%11.26%9.84%10.71%5.66%16.74%
Dividend Yield--3.51%3.40%3.74%4.75%3.39%3.33%2.99%2.53%2.58%3.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,698.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,192.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,506.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)739.60462.25277.35
Cash Retained (M)1,506.001,506.001,506.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-739.60-462.25-277.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)766.401,043.751,228.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.9530.9530.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.7633.7239.70
LTM Dividend per Share70.8370.8370.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.7633.7239.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend95.59104.55110.52
WACC / Discount Rate10.29%10.29%10.29%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Fair Value$827.68$1,002.20$1,183.69
Upside / Downside-61.77%-53.71%-45.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,698.003,693.303,688.603,683.923,679.233,674.563,784.79
Payout Ratio59.28%65.42%71.57%77.71%83.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,192.002,416.162,639.762,862.783,085.223,307.103,500.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.29%10.29%10.29%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Year 1 PV (M)2,168.772,190.712,212.64
Year 2 PV (M)2,126.862,170.102,213.77
Year 3 PV (M)2,070.372,133.832,198.57
Year 4 PV (M)2,002.792,085.052,169.82
Year 5 PV (M)1,927.012,026.452,129.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,976.6829,420.3730,923.05
Equity Value (M)38,272.4840,026.5041,847.81
Shares Outstanding (M)30.9530.9530.95
Fair Value$1,236.61$1,293.28$1,352.13
Upside / Downside-42.88%-40.26%-37.55%

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