Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,204.78 - $1,419.44$1,330.22
Multi-Stage$811.85 - $890.78$850.58
Blended Fair Value$1,090.40
Current Price$127.00
Upside758.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS14.33%0.00%3.002.501.561.311.191.541.960.000.000.00
YoY Growth--19.78%60.70%18.97%9.84%-22.34%-21.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.34%2.54%2.95%3.46%3.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,069.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)524.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)545.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)213.86133.6680.20
Cash Retained (M)545.17545.17545.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-213.86-133.66-80.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.31411.51464.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.82149.82149.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.212.753.10
LTM Dividend per Share3.503.503.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.212.753.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.716.256.60
WACC / Discount Rate2.56%2.56%2.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,204.78$1,330.22$1,419.44
Upside / Downside848.65%947.42%1,017.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,069.301,138.811,212.831,291.661,375.621,465.041,508.99
Payout Ratio49.02%57.21%65.41%73.61%81.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)524.13651.55793.31950.751,125.301,318.531,395.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.56%2.56%2.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)629.29635.26641.22
Year 2 PV (M)740.04754.14768.36
Year 3 PV (M)856.61881.20906.26
Year 4 PV (M)979.251,016.911,055.65
Year 5 PV (M)1,108.211,161.741,217.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)117,316.35122,982.77128,866.06
Equity Value (M)121,629.75127,432.01133,454.86
Shares Outstanding (M)149.82149.82149.82
Fair Value$811.85$850.58$890.78
Upside / Downside539.25%569.75%601.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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