Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CIMC Enric Holdings Limited (3899.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.51 - $205.48$105.08
Multi-Stage$23.49 - $25.70$24.58
Blended Fair Value$64.83
Current Price$5.97
Upside985.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.02%12.06%0.260.200.170.110.170.120.060.000.080.14
YoY Growth--30.17%18.84%54.42%-35.26%48.06%87.18%0.00%-100.00%-45.25%64.86%
Dividend Yield--3.99%3.24%2.45%1.20%4.38%2.78%1.17%0.00%2.34%3.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,202.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)563.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,638.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)440.46275.29165.17
Cash Retained (M)1,638.801,638.801,638.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-440.46-275.29-165.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,198.341,363.511,473.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.522,131.522,131.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.830.900.96
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.51$105.08$205.48
Upside / Downside662.26%1,660.18%3,341.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,202.302,345.452,497.912,660.272,833.193,017.343,107.86
Payout Ratio25.59%38.47%51.35%64.23%77.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)563.50902.291,282.731,708.822,184.882,715.612,874.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)832.10839.99847.88
Year 2 PV (M)1,090.941,111.721,132.70
Year 3 PV (M)1,340.281,378.751,417.96
Year 4 PV (M)1,580.371,641.151,703.66
Year 5 PV (M)1,811.471,898.971,989.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,422.4345,519.7547,697.34
Equity Value (M)50,077.6052,390.3354,789.34
Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.522,131.522,131.52
Fair Value$23.49$24.58$25.70
Upside / Downside293.53%311.71%330.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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