Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aplix Corporation (3727.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.58 - $67.75$56.83
Multi-Stage$81.57 - $89.48$85.45
Blended Fair Value$71.14
Current Price$184.00
Upside-61.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)136.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.3817.1110.27
Cash Retained (M)61.9061.9061.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.38-17.11-10.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.5244.7951.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.7521.7521.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.592.062.37
LTM Dividend per Share3.453.453.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.592.062.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.045.515.82
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$46.58$56.83$67.75
Upside / Downside-74.68%-69.11%-63.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)136.90135.53134.17132.83131.50130.19134.09
Payout Ratio54.78%61.83%68.87%75.91%82.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.0083.7992.40100.84109.09117.17124.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)76.3877.1677.94
Year 2 PV (M)76.7878.3679.95
Year 3 PV (M)76.3878.7481.15
Year 4 PV (M)75.3278.4481.66
Year 5 PV (M)73.7477.5881.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,395.411,468.071,543.73
Equity Value (M)1,774.011,858.351,946.00
Shares Outstanding (M)21.7521.7521.75
Fair Value$81.57$85.45$89.48
Upside / Downside-55.67%-53.56%-51.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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