Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Modern Dental Group Limited (3600.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.18 - $186.62$143.27
Multi-Stage$23.19 - $25.37$24.26
Blended Fair Value$83.76
Current Price$4.26
Upside1,866.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.52%26.76%0.170.100.080.200.020.050.040.040.020.03
YoY Growth--62.23%27.83%-58.46%780.92%-51.97%10.21%17.65%61.90%-19.13%73.11%
Dividend Yield--4.09%2.47%3.40%3.57%1.50%3.03%3.21%1.70%0.78%0.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)886.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)304.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)582.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)177.23110.7766.46
Cash Retained (M)582.09582.09582.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-177.23-110.77-66.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)404.86471.32515.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)944.33944.33944.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.500.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.500.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.750.820.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.18$143.27$186.62
Upside / Downside1,054.49%3,263.07%4,280.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)886.15943.751,005.091,070.421,140.001,214.101,250.53
Payout Ratio34.31%45.45%56.59%67.73%78.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)304.06428.94568.76724.95899.041,092.691,156.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)396.70400.46404.22
Year 2 PV (M)486.49495.75505.11
Year 3 PV (M)573.48589.95606.72
Year 4 PV (M)657.75683.05709.06
Year 5 PV (M)739.36775.07812.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,041.8619,961.5920,916.51
Equity Value (M)21,895.6422,905.8623,953.78
Shares Outstanding (M)944.33944.33944.33
Fair Value$23.19$24.26$25.37
Upside / Downside444.28%469.40%495.45%

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