Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IGIS RESIDENCE REIT Co., Ltd. (350520.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,877.84 - $4,186.88$3,511.67
Multi-Stage$4,886.58 - $5,369.64$5,123.42
Blended Fair Value$4,317.54
Current Price$3,875.00
Upside11.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%115.38204.61176.6273.7672.640.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.61%15.85%139.46%1.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.83%5.06%4.98%1.76%1.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,318.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,253.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,064.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,863.601,789.751,073.85
Cash Retained (M)10,064.2110,064.2110,064.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,863.60-1,789.75-1,073.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,200.618,274.468,990.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share195.31224.44243.86
LTM Dividend per Share115.38115.38115.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share195.31224.44243.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.69339.82359.24
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,877.84$3,511.67$4,186.88
Upside / Downside-25.73%-9.38%8.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,318.0114,174.8314,033.0813,892.7513,753.8213,616.2814,024.77
Payout Ratio29.71%41.77%53.83%65.88%77.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,253.795,920.477,553.399,153.0610,719.9912,254.6512,972.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,397.565,452.645,507.71
Year 2 PV (M)6,278.046,406.826,536.90
Year 3 PV (M)6,935.687,150.177,369.04
Year 4 PV (M)7,405.567,712.498,028.85
Year 5 PV (M)7,718.018,119.918,538.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)146,421.60154,046.12161,984.99
Equity Value (M)180,156.46188,888.14197,965.88
Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
Fair Value$4,886.58$5,123.42$5,369.64
Upside / Downside26.11%32.22%38.57%

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