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Definitive Analysis

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Star Asia Investment Corporation (3468.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$101,192.05 - $246,394.50$150,604.61
Multi-Stage$126,900.72 - $138,999.76$132,836.97
Blended Fair Value$141,720.79
Current Price$58,700.00
Upside141.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.68%0.00%1,815.392,646.512,186.902,022.812,182.311,377.401,317.011,397.61557.160.00
YoY Growth---31.40%21.02%8.11%-7.31%58.44%4.59%-5.77%150.84%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.09%4.66%3.80%3.41%3.61%3.25%2.25%2.60%1.11%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,030.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,424.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,406.191,503.87902.32
Cash Retained (M)2,606.382,606.382,606.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,406.19-1,503.87-902.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)200.191,102.511,704.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
LTM Dividend per Share3,743.973,743.973,743.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,823.504,181.954,420.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Fair Value$101,192.05$150,604.61$246,394.50
Upside / Downside72.39%156.57%319.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,030.9312,464.5512,913.8013,379.2513,861.4614,361.0614,791.89
Payout Ratio78.34%80.67%83.00%85.33%87.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,424.5510,055.0110,718.6711,417.1012,151.9612,924.9613,682.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)9,351.869,443.009,534.15
Year 2 PV (M)9,271.969,453.579,636.95
Year 3 PV (M)9,185.489,456.689,733.16
Year 4 PV (M)9,093.019,452.719,822.99
Year 5 PV (M)8,995.109,442.069,906.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)273,545.11287,137.60301,265.13
Equity Value (M)319,442.51334,385.63349,898.99
Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
Fair Value$126,900.72$132,836.97$138,999.76
Upside / Downside116.19%126.30%136.80%

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