Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Teijin Limited (3401.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,355.20 - $2,106.98$1,702.59
Multi-Stage$1,919.76 - $2,104.24$2,010.25
Blended Fair Value$1,856.42
Current Price$1,258.50
Upside47.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.51%6.96%39.9827.4654.8552.3154.7869.6760.6461.2545.9125.50
YoY Growth--45.60%-49.94%4.85%-4.50%-21.37%14.88%-0.98%33.39%80.08%25.04%
Dividend Yield--3.42%2.05%3.80%3.70%3.24%4.06%3.24%3.01%2.12%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,906.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,635.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,271.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,381.203,363.252,017.95
Cash Retained (M)17,271.0017,271.0017,271.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,381.20-3,363.25-2,017.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,889.8013,907.7515,253.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)192.73192.73192.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share61.6972.1679.14
LTM Dividend per Share49.9949.9949.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share61.6972.1679.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.68122.15129.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.77%8.77%8.77%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Fair Value$1,355.20$1,702.59$2,106.98
Upside / Downside7.68%35.29%67.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,906.0027,307.1427,714.2628,127.4528,546.7928,972.3929,841.57
Payout Ratio35.81%46.65%57.49%68.32%79.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,635.0012,738.2015,931.7919,217.7822,598.2026,075.1527,603.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.77%8.77%8.77%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)11,595.4811,710.8711,826.26
Year 2 PV (M)13,201.5913,465.6413,732.30
Year 3 PV (M)14,495.9114,932.9815,378.76
Year 4 PV (M)15,516.6216,143.5316,789.25
Year 5 PV (M)16,297.8717,125.0817,985.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)298,887.57314,057.88329,838.02
Equity Value (M)369,995.04387,435.99405,550.14
Shares Outstanding (M)192.73192.73192.73
Fair Value$1,919.76$2,010.25$2,104.24
Upside / Downside52.54%59.73%67.20%

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