Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Wasion Holdings Limited (3393.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.94 - $275.09$89.34
Multi-Stage$28.81 - $31.52$30.14
Blended Fair Value$59.74
Current Price$7.61
Upside685.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.78%4.88%0.260.210.170.170.180.220.200.210.210.19
YoY Growth--23.27%22.39%2.22%-8.50%-18.73%9.45%-0.75%-1.00%7.50%21.43%
Dividend Yield--3.83%5.92%7.40%5.97%9.48%6.59%6.12%6.48%5.58%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,452.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,195.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290.54181.58108.95
Cash Retained (M)1,195.861,195.861,195.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-290.54-181.58-108.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)905.331,014.281,086.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)990.13990.13990.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.171.281.36
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$48.94$89.34$275.09
Upside / Downside543.07%1,073.99%3,514.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,452.681,547.101,647.661,754.761,868.821,990.302,050.01
Payout Ratio17.68%32.14%46.61%61.07%75.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256.82497.29767.931,071.661,411.631,791.271,896.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)456.00460.32464.64
Year 2 PV (M)645.71658.01670.42
Year 3 PV (M)826.28850.00874.17
Year 4 PV (M)998.041,036.431,075.90
Year 5 PV (M)1,161.301,217.401,275.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,439.1025,619.5226,845.11
Equity Value (M)28,526.4429,841.6731,205.89
Shares Outstanding (M)990.13990.13990.13
Fair Value$28.81$30.14$31.52
Upside / Downside278.59%296.05%314.15%

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