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Definitive Analysis

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Xi S&D Inc. (317400.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,311.75 - $11,342.13$9,177.40
Multi-Stage$17,130.20 - $18,843.73$17,970.17
Blended Fair Value$13,573.79
Current Price$3,290.00
Upside312.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%507.75431.10168.6487.3458.230.000.00108.77108.750.00
YoY Growth--17.78%155.64%93.07%50.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.03%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--16.02%10.14%2.62%0.93%0.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35,835.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,253.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,581.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,167.144,479.462,687.68
Cash Retained (M)12,581.9312,581.9312,581.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,167.14-4,479.46-2,687.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,414.798,102.479,894.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.0046.0046.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share117.72176.16215.11
LTM Dividend per Share505.56505.56505.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share117.72176.16215.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend623.29681.72720.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7,311.75$9,177.40$11,342.13
Upside / Downside122.24%178.95%244.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35,835.7135,477.3535,122.5834,771.3534,423.6434,079.4035,101.78
Payout Ratio64.89%69.91%74.93%79.96%84.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,253.7824,802.9226,318.7427,801.7829,252.5230,671.4632,469.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)23,085.5323,321.1023,556.67
Year 2 PV (M)22,800.2423,267.9323,740.36
Year 3 PV (M)22,417.3423,110.6123,818.03
Year 4 PV (M)21,953.9122,863.8023,801.68
Year 5 PV (M)21,424.9722,540.6223,702.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)676,234.46711,447.56748,112.52
Equity Value (M)787,916.47826,551.62866,731.53
Shares Outstanding (M)46.0046.0046.00
Fair Value$17,130.20$17,970.17$18,843.73
Upside / Downside420.67%446.21%472.76%

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