Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co.,Ltd. (300951.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.53 - $45.56$30.54
Multi-Stage$16.45 - $17.93$17.18
Blended Fair Value$23.86
Current Price$38.81
Upside-38.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS43.73%0.00%0.730.890.710.600.360.120.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth---18.34%25.20%18.65%68.45%200.20%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.38%2.98%1.72%1.90%0.80%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)193.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.7424.2114.53
Cash Retained (M)93.1393.1393.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.74-24.21-14.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.3968.9278.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)168.26168.26168.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.921.011.06
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.53$30.54$45.56
Upside / Downside-44.52%-21.30%17.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)193.69206.28219.69233.97249.17265.37273.33
Payout Ratio51.92%59.53%67.15%74.77%82.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.56122.80147.52174.93205.28238.83252.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)110.58111.63112.68
Year 2 PV (M)119.61121.89124.19
Year 3 PV (M)127.72131.38135.12
Year 4 PV (M)134.96140.15145.48
Year 5 PV (M)141.39148.21155.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,134.482,237.572,344.62
Equity Value (M)2,768.732,890.843,017.39
Shares Outstanding (M)168.26168.26168.26
Fair Value$16.45$17.18$17.93
Upside / Downside-57.60%-55.73%-53.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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