Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Jiangxi Everbright Measurement And Control Technology Co.,Ltd. (300906.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.26 - $35.01$23.21
Multi-Stage$12.45 - $13.57$13.00
Blended Fair Value$18.10
Current Price$29.28
Upside-38.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.89%60.88%0.500.200.300.500.000.250.380.140.130.50
YoY Growth--150.00%-33.33%-40.00%0.00%-100.00%-33.40%161.09%12.83%-74.70%11,593.26%
Dividend Yield--2.07%0.97%1.27%1.77%0.00%0.38%0.57%0.22%0.19%0.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.628.515.11
Cash Retained (M)28.1028.1028.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.62-8.51-5.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.4819.5922.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.0080.0080.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.240.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.240.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.79
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.26$23.21$35.01
Upside / Downside-44.46%-20.73%19.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.1072.5277.2482.2687.6193.3096.10
Payout Ratio58.74%64.99%71.24%77.50%83.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.0047.1355.0363.7573.3783.9788.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)42.4842.8843.28
Year 2 PV (M)44.6945.5546.40
Year 3 PV (M)46.6648.0049.37
Year 4 PV (M)48.4050.2652.18
Year 5 PV (M)49.9252.3354.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)763.98800.88839.19
Equity Value (M)996.141,039.901,085.26
Shares Outstanding (M)80.0080.0080.00
Fair Value$12.45$13.00$13.57
Upside / Downside-57.47%-55.60%-53.67%

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