Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition Inc. (300795.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.96 - $18.49$12.59
Multi-Stage$7.04 - $7.66$7.35
Blended Fair Value$9.97
Current Price$14.43
Upside-30.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%47.98%0.590.000.000.000.410.000.210.130.100.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%69.14%33.03%616.87%13.77%
Dividend Yield--3.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.16%0.00%3.04%1.80%1.35%0.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)121.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.3315.219.12
Cash Retained (M)42.1342.1342.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.33-15.21-9.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.8026.9233.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)245.87245.87245.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate10.16%10.16%10.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.96$12.59$18.49
Upside / Downside-37.92%-12.73%28.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)121.66129.57137.99146.96156.51166.68171.69
Payout Ratio65.37%70.30%75.22%80.15%85.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79.5391.08103.80117.78133.15150.02158.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.16%10.16%10.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)81.9082.6883.46
Year 2 PV (M)83.9385.5387.15
Year 3 PV (M)85.6588.1090.61
Year 4 PV (M)87.0690.4193.85
Year 5 PV (M)88.2192.4796.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,303.851,366.831,432.21
Equity Value (M)1,730.601,806.021,884.17
Shares Outstanding (M)245.87245.87245.87
Fair Value$7.04$7.35$7.66
Upside / Downside-51.22%-49.10%-46.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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