Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material Co., Ltd. (300481.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.15 - $101.50$95.12
Multi-Stage$208.77 - $229.16$218.77
Blended Fair Value$156.94
Current Price$15.02
Upside944.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.62%43.76%0.610.430.410.170.170.170.200.070.140.01
YoY Growth--43.38%3.82%136.45%0.00%0.00%-14.29%199.91%-50.00%1,954.22%-59.43%
Dividend Yield--4.08%2.89%1.57%0.74%0.79%1.08%1.14%0.47%0.73%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)150.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)121.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.0518.7811.27
Cash Retained (M)28.6828.6828.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.05-18.78-11.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.379.9017.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)294.37294.37294.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate-20.73%-20.73%-20.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$86.15$95.12$101.50
Upside / Downside473.55%533.26%575.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)150.23160.00170.40181.47193.27205.83212.01
Payout Ratio80.91%82.73%84.55%86.36%88.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)121.56132.37144.07156.73170.43185.25196.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-20.73%-20.73%-20.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)165.42166.99168.56
Year 2 PV (M)225.00229.29233.61
Year 3 PV (M)305.90314.68323.63
Year 4 PV (M)415.71431.70448.14
Year 5 PV (M)564.69591.96620.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)59,778.7062,666.0365,663.87
Equity Value (M)61,455.4264,400.6567,458.09
Shares Outstanding (M)294.37294.37294.37
Fair Value$208.77$218.77$229.16
Upside / Downside1,289.93%1,356.54%1,425.69%

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