Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Beijing Strong Biotechnologies, Inc. (300406.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.79 - $144.95$88.43
Multi-Stage$17.63 - $19.26$18.43
Blended Fair Value$53.43
Current Price$13.36
Upside299.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.71%0.00%0.210.110.150.130.140.130.130.250.130.11
YoY Growth--92.08%-28.67%15.31%-4.64%10.41%-0.81%-49.90%100.46%20.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.34%0.58%0.73%0.73%0.72%0.74%0.74%1.48%0.69%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)431.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)245.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)185.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)86.3453.9632.38
Cash Retained (M)185.92185.92185.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-86.34-53.96-32.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)99.58131.96153.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)592.30592.30592.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.640.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.27%7.27%7.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34.79$88.43$144.95
Upside / Downside160.42%561.89%984.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)431.71459.77489.66521.49555.38591.48609.23
Payout Ratio56.93%63.55%70.16%76.77%83.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)245.79292.17343.55400.36463.12532.33563.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.27%7.27%7.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)269.82272.38274.93
Year 2 PV (M)292.99298.57304.20
Year 3 PV (M)315.32324.37333.59
Year 4 PV (M)336.84349.79363.11
Year 5 PV (M)357.56374.83392.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,868.469,296.819,741.56
Equity Value (M)10,440.9810,916.7411,410.16
Shares Outstanding (M)592.30592.30592.30
Fair Value$17.63$18.43$19.26
Upside / Downside31.94%37.96%44.19%

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