Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Edan Instruments, Inc. (300206.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.03 - $17.12$11.43
Multi-Stage$6.10 - $6.65$6.37
Blended Fair Value$8.90
Current Price$11.90
Upside-25.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.89%14.91%0.210.210.210.440.170.100.090.040.090.04
YoY Growth--0.00%-1.36%-51.81%152.28%66.95%20.52%133.74%-58.98%127.59%-23.79%
Dividend Yield--1.71%1.86%1.60%3.74%1.03%0.83%1.21%0.49%1.07%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)246.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)119.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)126.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.3730.8518.51
Cash Retained (M)126.85126.85126.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.37-30.85-18.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.4895.99108.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)579.64579.64579.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.03$11.43$17.12
Upside / Downside-32.48%-3.99%43.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)246.84262.88279.97298.16317.55338.19348.33
Payout Ratio48.61%56.89%65.17%73.44%81.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)119.99149.55182.45218.99259.51304.37322.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)134.71135.99137.26
Year 2 PV (M)148.04150.85153.70
Year 3 PV (M)160.05164.65169.33
Year 4 PV (M)170.85177.42184.18
Year 5 PV (M)180.50189.22198.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,740.162,872.513,009.93
Equity Value (M)3,534.313,690.643,852.67
Shares Outstanding (M)579.64579.64579.64
Fair Value$6.10$6.37$6.65
Upside / Downside-48.76%-46.50%-44.15%

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