Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Xiuqiang Glasswork Co., Ltd. (300160.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.07 - $10.76$7.20
Multi-Stage$3.80 - $4.14$3.97
Blended Fair Value$5.58
Current Price$5.75
Upside-2.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.44%17.56%0.100.110.090.010.170.020.200.060.040.02
YoY Growth---6.22%27.39%837.19%-94.73%617.32%-87.83%225.19%71.36%46.52%19.98%
Dividend Yield--1.88%2.12%1.13%0.12%2.62%0.36%4.51%0.91%0.29%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)130.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7326.0815.65
Cash Retained (M)130.94130.94130.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.73-26.08-15.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.21104.86115.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)772.95772.95772.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5.07$7.20$10.76
Upside / Downside-11.83%25.21%87.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.67222.24236.68252.07268.45285.90294.48
Payout Ratio37.25%47.80%58.35%68.90%79.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.73106.23138.10173.67213.28257.31272.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)95.6796.5897.48
Year 2 PV (M)112.01114.15116.30
Year 3 PV (M)126.86130.50134.21
Year 4 PV (M)140.31145.71151.26
Year 5 PV (M)152.45159.81167.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,307.312,418.762,534.46
Equity Value (M)2,934.613,065.503,201.17
Shares Outstanding (M)772.95772.95772.95
Fair Value$3.80$3.97$4.14
Upside / Downside-33.97%-31.03%-27.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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