Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Jing-Jan Retail Business Co., Ltd. (2942.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.27 - $88.77$72.57
Multi-Stage$148.82 - $163.86$156.19
Blended Fair Value$114.38
Current Price$31.05
Upside268.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.55%0.00%2.521.660.833.223.513.530.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--51.50%101.20%-74.38%-8.22%-0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.82%3.74%2.33%7.59%7.79%6.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)400.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)252.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.0850.0530.03
Cash Retained (M)148.40148.40148.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.08-50.05-30.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)68.3298.35118.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.2860.2860.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.131.631.96
LTM Dividend per Share4.184.184.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.131.631.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.315.816.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate-2.69%-1.69%-0.69%
Fair Value$58.27$72.57$88.77
Upside / Downside87.68%133.72%185.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)400.40393.62386.95380.40373.95367.62378.65
Payout Ratio62.94%68.35%73.76%79.17%84.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)252.00269.04285.42301.18316.32330.86350.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate-2.69%-1.69%-0.69%
Year 1 PV (M)250.80253.38255.96
Year 2 PV (M)248.04253.17258.35
Year 3 PV (M)244.00251.60259.35
Year 4 PV (M)238.89248.87259.15
Year 5 PV (M)232.94245.16257.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,756.378,163.208,586.93
Equity Value (M)8,971.059,415.379,877.61
Shares Outstanding (M)60.2860.2860.28
Fair Value$148.82$156.19$163.86
Upside / Downside379.30%403.04%427.73%

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