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Definitive Analysis

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FTGroup Co., Ltd. (2763.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,564.92 - $2,378.22$1,946.78
Multi-Stage$3,299.67 - $3,633.21$3,463.16
Blended Fair Value$2,704.97
Current Price$1,233.00
Upside119.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-2.67%9.06%55.8155.9856.9965.4166.3963.9052.0244.6832.1327.22
YoY Growth---0.30%-1.77%-12.88%-1.47%3.89%22.84%16.44%39.04%18.04%16.05%
Dividend Yield--4.80%4.84%5.28%7.25%5.03%4.94%3.41%3.36%3.39%3.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,324.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,644.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,680.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,064.80665.50399.30
Cash Retained (M)3,680.003,680.003,680.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,064.80-665.50-399.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,615.203,014.503,280.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.77101.17110.11
LTM Dividend per Share55.1855.1855.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.77101.17110.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend142.95156.35165.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Fair Value$1,564.92$1,946.78$2,378.22
Upside / Downside26.92%57.89%92.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,324.005,265.915,208.455,151.625,095.415,039.815,191.01
Payout Ratio30.88%42.70%54.53%66.35%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,644.002,248.712,840.033,418.183,983.384,535.834,801.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Year 1 PV (M)2,083.222,104.502,125.78
Year 2 PV (M)2,437.402,487.452,538.00
Year 3 PV (M)2,717.702,801.822,887.67
Year 4 PV (M)2,933.993,055.713,181.17
Year 5 PV (M)3,095.043,256.363,424.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)85,045.9689,478.7194,094.39
Equity Value (M)98,313.32103,184.55108,251.34
Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
Fair Value$3,299.67$3,463.16$3,633.21
Upside / Downside167.61%180.87%194.66%

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