Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Maeil Dairies Co., Ltd. (267980.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56,733.30 - $88,155.14$71,261.37
Multi-Stage$129,439.27 - $142,672.67$135,925.11
Blended Fair Value$103,593.24
Current Price$37,500.00
Upside176.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS9.44%0.00%1,170.011,172.241,204.80827.35851.05745.25464.720.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.19%-2.70%45.62%-2.79%14.20%60.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.88%2.52%1.22%1.18%1.08%0.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44,282.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,020.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)35,261.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,856.415,535.263,321.15
Cash Retained (M)35,261.1835,261.1835,261.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,856.41-5,535.26-3,321.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,404.7729,725.9331,940.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.367.367.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,585.414,036.384,337.03
LTM Dividend per Share1,224.911,224.911,224.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,585.414,036.384,337.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,810.325,261.295,561.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$56,733.30$71,261.37$88,155.14
Upside / Downside51.29%90.03%135.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44,282.0543,839.2343,400.8342,966.8342,537.1642,111.7943,375.14
Payout Ratio20.37%34.30%48.22%62.15%76.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,020.8715,035.5920,929.1126,703.2632,359.8337,900.6140,122.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14,000.3914,143.2514,286.11
Year 2 PV (M)18,146.3918,518.6218,894.62
Year 3 PV (M)21,558.7522,225.4722,905.80
Year 4 PV (M)24,326.8225,335.0626,374.31
Year 5 PV (M)26,530.4827,911.9829,350.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)848,692.67892,886.06938,901.58
Equity Value (M)953,255.501,001,020.441,050,712.87
Shares Outstanding (M)7.367.367.36
Fair Value$129,439.27$135,925.11$142,672.67
Upside / Downside245.17%262.47%280.46%

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