Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Asiana IDT, Inc. (267850.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,138.01 - $13,529.15$11,237.93
Multi-Stage$18,535.34 - $20,387.89$19,443.45
Blended Fair Value$15,340.69
Current Price$11,950.00
Upside28.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%499.82499.82499.820.00499.82499.82450.290.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%11.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.77%2.89%3.34%0.00%2.31%4.54%3.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,811.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,550.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,261.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,562.251,601.41960.85
Cash Retained (M)7,261.277,261.277,261.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,562.25-1,601.41-960.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,699.015,659.866,300.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.1011.1011.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share423.18509.71567.40
LTM Dividend per Share499.82499.82499.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share423.18509.71567.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend923.001,009.531,067.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Fair Value$9,138.01$11,237.93$13,529.15
Upside / Downside-23.53%-5.96%13.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,811.2712,623.1412,437.7712,255.1312,075.1711,897.8512,254.78
Payout Ratio43.32%52.66%61.99%71.33%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,550.006,646.977,710.528,741.409,740.3410,708.0611,335.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)6,127.146,189.976,252.79
Year 2 PV (M)6,551.686,686.726,823.14
Year 3 PV (M)6,846.767,059.537,276.66
Year 4 PV (M)7,032.557,325.447,627.39
Year 5 PV (M)7,126.637,499.557,887.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)172,131.61181,138.84190,519.25
Equity Value (M)205,816.39215,900.06226,387.14
Shares Outstanding (M)11.1011.1011.10
Fair Value$18,535.34$19,443.45$20,387.89
Upside / Downside55.11%62.71%70.61%

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