Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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T3EX Global Holdings Corp. (2636.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$678.23 - $1,624.74$1,522.62
Multi-Stage$244.03 - $266.77$255.19
Blended Fair Value$888.91
Current Price$70.00
Upside1,169.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.43%29.32%6.4913.1613.442.901.101.861.100.681.501.06
YoY Growth---50.68%-2.11%363.78%164.10%-40.91%69.23%62.50%-55.10%42.14%113.23%
Dividend Yield--8.71%14.07%17.19%2.37%2.02%9.98%4.21%2.77%7.55%4.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,120.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)821.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)298.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)224.10140.0684.04
Cash Retained (M)298.72298.72298.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-224.10-140.06-84.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.62158.66214.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)137.15137.15137.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.541.161.57
LTM Dividend per Share5.995.995.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.541.161.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.547.157.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$678.23$1,522.62$1,624.74
Upside / Downside868.89%2,075.18%2,221.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,120.491,193.321,270.891,353.501,441.471,535.171,581.22
Payout Ratio73.34%76.67%80.00%83.34%86.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)821.77914.941,016.761,127.951,249.301,381.651,462.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)850.90858.97867.03
Year 2 PV (M)879.41896.16913.07
Year 3 PV (M)907.29933.33959.87
Year 4 PV (M)934.56970.501,007.47
Year 5 PV (M)961.231,007.651,055.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,935.5630,333.1631,784.25
Equity Value (M)33,468.9534,999.7736,587.55
Shares Outstanding (M)137.15137.15137.15
Fair Value$244.03$255.19$266.77
Upside / Downside248.61%264.56%281.09%

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