Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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EDA Group Holdings Limited (2505.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.37 - $3.66$2.97
Multi-Stage$5.19 - $5.72$5.45
Blended Fair Value$4.21
Current Price$2.37
Upside77.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.00%1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.3713.358.01
Cash Retained (M)97.6397.6397.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.37-13.35-8.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)76.2684.2889.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)416.24416.24416.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.37$2.97$3.66
Upside / Downside0.10%25.38%54.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.83105.76104.71103.66102.62101.60104.64
Payout Ratio8.61%24.89%41.17%57.44%73.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.2026.3243.1059.5575.6591.4496.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)24.4724.7224.97
Year 2 PV (M)37.2538.0238.79
Year 3 PV (M)47.8449.3250.83
Year 4 PV (M)56.5158.8561.26
Year 5 PV (M)63.4966.7970.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,930.112,030.622,135.27
Equity Value (M)2,159.672,268.322,381.36
Shares Outstanding (M)416.24416.24416.24
Fair Value$5.19$5.45$5.72
Upside / Downside118.93%129.94%141.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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