Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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S-Pool, Inc. (2471.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,213.70 - $4,580.35$3,567.66
Multi-Stage$574.52 - $628.29$600.91
Blended Fair Value$2,084.29
Current Price$320.00
Upside551.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS58.77%0.00%10.028.036.013.302.000.990.710.380.380.38
YoY Growth--24.72%33.69%82.24%64.97%101.28%39.29%86.85%0.76%0.49%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.30%2.48%0.93%0.33%0.20%0.15%0.19%0.20%0.64%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,809.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)789.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,020.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)361.80226.13135.68
Cash Retained (M)1,020.001,020.001,020.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-361.80-226.13-135.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)658.20793.88884.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.5578.5578.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.3810.1111.26
LTM Dividend per Share10.0510.0510.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.3810.1111.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.4320.1521.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,213.70$3,567.66$4,580.35
Upside / Downside279.28%1,014.90%1,331.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,809.001,926.592,051.812,185.182,327.222,478.492,552.84
Payout Ratio43.62%52.89%62.17%71.45%80.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)789.001,019.011,275.591,561.231,878.602,230.642,361.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)942.51951.45960.38
Year 2 PV (M)1,091.261,112.041,133.02
Year 3 PV (M)1,235.341,270.801,306.94
Year 4 PV (M)1,374.871,427.751,482.13
Year 5 PV (M)1,509.961,582.891,658.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,971.7240,854.0742,808.46
Equity Value (M)45,125.6547,198.9949,349.54
Shares Outstanding (M)78.5578.5578.55
Fair Value$574.52$600.91$628.29
Upside / Downside79.54%87.79%96.34%

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