Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Dah Sing Banking Group Limited (2356.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.73 - $409.76$164.41
Multi-Stage$74.87 - $81.97$78.35
Blended Fair Value$121.38
Current Price$9.09
Upside1,235.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.63%8.41%0.760.400.340.320.430.480.440.390.370.37
YoY Growth--90.00%17.65%6.25%-25.58%-10.42%9.17%12.91%5.49%0.04%8.85%
Dividend Yield--9.27%8.03%6.07%4.80%5.40%4.61%3.18%2.27%2.59%2.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,387.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,807.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,580.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)877.52548.45329.07
Cash Retained (M)2,580.452,580.452,580.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-877.52-548.45-329.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,702.932,032.002,251.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,405.751,405.751,405.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.451.60
LTM Dividend per Share1.291.291.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.451.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.502.732.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$94.73$164.41$409.76
Upside / Downside942.09%1,708.70%4,407.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,387.584,619.364,863.385,120.295,390.785,675.555,845.82
Payout Ratio41.19%50.95%60.71%70.47%80.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,807.132,353.562,952.683,608.534,325.435,108.005,407.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)2,178.062,198.942,219.83
Year 2 PV (M)2,528.742,577.472,626.66
Year 3 PV (M)2,859.972,943.043,027.70
Year 4 PV (M)3,172.523,295.973,422.99
Year 5 PV (M)3,467.133,636.583,812.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)91,042.8595,492.58100,114.61
Equity Value (M)105,249.27110,144.58115,224.39
Shares Outstanding (M)1,405.751,405.751,405.75
Fair Value$74.87$78.35$81.97
Upside / Downside723.66%761.97%801.72%

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