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Xin Point Holdings Limited (1571.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.18 - $203.78$190.97
Multi-Stage$29.75 - $32.56$31.13
Blended Fair Value$111.05
Current Price$3.49
Upside3,081.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.98%26.08%0.410.210.070.150.130.130.130.170.180.00
YoY Growth--94.63%206.38%-54.42%21.19%-3.67%-2.19%-22.28%-2.37%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--10.19%8.39%3.50%7.20%3.10%6.70%5.74%4.13%6.10%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,028.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)421.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)606.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)205.61128.5077.10
Cash Retained (M)606.05606.05606.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-205.61-128.50-77.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)400.45477.55528.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,003.311,003.311,003.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.480.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.480.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.900.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$83.18$190.97$203.78
Upside / Downside2,283.37%5,371.84%5,738.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,028.031,094.851,166.021,241.811,322.531,408.491,450.75
Payout Ratio41.05%50.84%60.63%70.42%80.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)421.98556.60706.94874.471,060.791,267.641,341.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)517.53522.43527.34
Year 2 PV (M)611.17622.81634.56
Year 3 PV (M)702.94723.12743.68
Year 4 PV (M)792.86823.35854.71
Year 5 PV (M)880.96923.51967.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,346.8127,619.3728,940.63
Equity Value (M)29,852.2631,234.5932,668.62
Shares Outstanding (M)1,003.311,003.311,003.31
Fair Value$29.75$31.13$32.56
Upside / Downside752.54%792.02%832.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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