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Rici Healthcare Holdings Limited (1526.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.56 - $70.75$66.30
Multi-Stage$9.50 - $10.39$9.94
Blended Fair Value$38.12
Current Price$1.04
Upside3,565.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.080.28
YoY Growth---57.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-71.84%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.05%10.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.45%13.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)565.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)220.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)345.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.1470.7242.43
Cash Retained (M)345.61345.61345.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.14-70.72-42.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)232.46274.89303.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,590.321,590.321,590.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.56$66.30$70.75
Upside / Downside2,069.26%6,274.90%6,702.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)565.72602.50641.66683.37727.79775.09798.34
Payout Ratio38.91%49.13%59.35%69.56%79.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)220.12295.99380.80475.38580.64697.58738.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)274.46277.07279.67
Year 2 PV (M)327.42333.66339.95
Year 3 PV (M)379.01389.89400.98
Year 4 PV (M)429.27445.78462.76
Year 5 PV (M)478.22501.32525.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,215.1713,853.4714,516.19
Equity Value (M)15,103.5615,801.1816,524.85
Shares Outstanding (M)1,590.321,590.321,590.32
Fair Value$9.50$9.94$10.39
Upside / Downside813.19%855.37%899.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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