Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Financial Street Property Co., Limited (1502.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.75 - $4.25$3.44
Multi-Stage$6.32 - $6.95$6.63
Blended Fair Value$5.04
Current Price$2.03
Upside148.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-11.21%0.00%0.170.160.220.150.220.310.210.140.000.00
YoY Growth--6.13%-26.58%44.16%-30.68%-29.12%49.14%46.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.74%7.69%9.02%5.27%4.27%3.71%2.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)110.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.0413.788.27
Cash Retained (M)45.5945.5945.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.04-13.78-8.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.5531.8137.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)373.50373.50373.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.75$3.44$4.25
Upside / Downside35.26%69.58%109.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)110.21109.10108.01106.93105.86104.80107.95
Payout Ratio58.63%64.91%71.18%77.45%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64.6270.8176.8882.8288.6494.3299.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)65.8766.5467.21
Year 2 PV (M)66.5267.8869.26
Year 3 PV (M)66.6568.7170.81
Year 4 PV (M)66.3469.0971.93
Year 5 PV (M)65.6769.0972.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,029.852,135.552,245.61
Equity Value (M)2,360.902,476.872,597.47
Shares Outstanding (M)373.50373.50373.50
Fair Value$6.32$6.63$6.95
Upside / Downside211.38%226.68%242.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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