Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hikari Food Service Co Ltd (138A.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,042.97 - $1,548.93$1,284.40
Multi-Stage$1,939.31 - $2,132.97$2,034.25
Blended Fair Value$1,659.32
Current Price$2,386.00
Upside-30.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)128.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.6816.059.63
Cash Retained (M)88.7988.7988.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.68-16.05-9.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.1172.7479.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.990.990.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share63.6273.3379.80
LTM Dividend per Share39.9339.9339.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share63.6273.3379.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend103.55113.26119.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.73%7.73%7.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,042.97$1,284.40$1,548.93
Upside / Downside-56.29%-46.17%-35.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)128.41127.12125.85124.59123.35122.11125.78
Payout Ratio30.85%42.68%54.51%66.34%78.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.6154.2568.6082.6596.42109.90116.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.73%7.73%7.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)49.8550.3650.87
Year 2 PV (M)57.9259.1160.31
Year 3 PV (M)64.1266.1168.13
Year 4 PV (M)68.7471.5874.52
Year 5 PV (M)71.9975.7479.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,611.181,695.071,782.43
Equity Value (M)1,923.802,017.972,115.90
Shares Outstanding (M)0.990.990.99
Fair Value$1,939.31$2,034.25$2,132.97
Upside / Downside-18.72%-14.74%-10.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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