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Definitive Analysis

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Meritz Financial Group Inc. (138040.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,212,328.40 - $2,606,497.70$2,442,670.06
Multi-Stage$627,884.85 - $688,547.32$657,652.68
Blended Fair Value$1,550,161.37
Current Price$113,500.00
Upside1,265.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.44%29.23%2,870.25226.95353.161,763.371,094.321,001.521,120.69842.11681.74326.16
YoY Growth--1,164.70%-35.74%-79.97%61.14%9.27%-10.63%33.08%23.52%109.02%47.58%
Dividend Yield--2.35%0.28%0.91%4.34%6.36%9.72%7.86%5.69%5.61%2.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,329,894.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)285,347.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,044,547.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)465,978.88291,236.80174,742.08
Cash Retained (M)2,044,547.272,044,547.272,044,547.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-465,978.88-291,236.80-174,742.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,578,568.401,753,310.481,869,805.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)177.77177.77177.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share8,879.829,862.7910,518.10
LTM Dividend per Share1,605.151,605.151,605.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share8,879.829,862.7910,518.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,484.9711,467.9312,123.25
WACC / Discount Rate5.16%5.16%5.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,212,328.40$2,442,670.06$2,606,497.70
Upside / Downside1,849.19%2,052.13%2,196.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,329,894.392,481,337.532,642,624.472,814,395.062,997,330.743,192,157.233,287,921.95
Payout Ratio12.25%27.80%43.35%58.90%74.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)285,347.12689,756.501,145,533.511,657,647.312,231,496.022,872,941.513,041,327.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.16%5.16%5.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)649,780.11655,939.16662,098.21
Year 2 PV (M)1,016,597.451,035,960.781,055,506.77
Year 3 PV (M)1,385,810.861,425,592.511,466,128.29
Year 4 PV (M)1,757,432.101,825,017.971,894,534.73
Year 5 PV (M)2,131,472.972,234,423.912,341,315.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)104,678,153.19109,734,147.13114,983,645.85
Equity Value (M)111,619,246.67116,911,081.45122,403,228.89
Shares Outstanding (M)177.77177.77177.77
Fair Value$627,884.85$657,652.68$688,547.32
Upside / Downside453.20%479.43%506.65%

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