Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company (1322.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Other Precious MetalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.32 - $121.21$79.45
Multi-Stage$42.84 - $46.63$44.70
Blended Fair Value$62.07
Current Price$73.50
Upside-15.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.550.731.900.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--111.68%-61.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.77%1.32%3.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)250.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)184.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.1731.3618.81
Cash Retained (M)66.7066.7066.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.17-31.36-18.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.5335.3547.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.4688.4688.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.400.54
LTM Dividend per Share2.082.082.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.400.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.272.482.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$55.32$79.45$121.21
Upside / Downside-24.73%8.09%64.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)250.86267.17284.53303.03322.72343.70354.01
Payout Ratio73.41%76.73%80.05%83.36%86.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)184.16204.99227.76252.61279.74309.33327.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)184.90186.65188.40
Year 2 PV (M)185.29188.82192.39
Year 3 PV (M)185.37190.69196.12
Year 4 PV (M)185.16192.28199.60
Year 5 PV (M)184.67193.59202.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,863.813,002.133,145.75
Equity Value (M)3,789.203,954.164,125.10
Shares Outstanding (M)88.4688.4688.46
Fair Value$42.84$44.70$46.63
Upside / Downside-41.72%-39.18%-36.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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