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Definitive Analysis

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Secuve Co., Ltd. (131090.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,101.01 - $2,890.99$2,499.65
Multi-Stage$3,757.13 - $4,132.61$3,941.15
Blended Fair Value$3,220.40
Current Price$4,350.00
Upside-25.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%128.92134.15127.6372.6645.830.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---3.90%5.11%75.65%58.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.71%2.26%1.01%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,965.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)956.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,009.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)593.19370.75222.45
Cash Retained (M)2,009.302,009.302,009.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-593.19-370.75-222.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,416.111,638.561,786.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.647.647.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share185.29214.40233.80
LTM Dividend per Share125.18125.18125.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share185.29214.40233.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.47339.58358.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Fair Value$2,101.01$2,499.65$2,890.99
Upside / Downside-51.70%-42.54%-33.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,965.962,855.362,748.892,646.382,547.702,452.702,526.28
Payout Ratio32.25%43.80%55.35%66.90%78.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)956.661,250.751,521.581,770.481,998.692,207.432,336.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Year 1 PV (M)1,131.931,143.811,155.70
Year 2 PV (M)1,246.221,272.521,299.09
Year 3 PV (M)1,312.311,354.071,396.71
Year 4 PV (M)1,340.731,397.911,456.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,340.081,411.901,486.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,342.6123,540.0624,788.32
Equity Value (M)28,713.8830,120.2831,583.49
Shares Outstanding (M)7.647.647.64
Fair Value$3,757.13$3,941.15$4,132.61
Upside / Downside-13.63%-9.40%-5.00%

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