Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Malayan Banking Berhad (1155.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.17 - $31.43$21.35
Multi-Stage$19.36 - $21.20$20.26
Blended Fair Value$20.81
Current Price$9.91
Upside109.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.67%3.90%0.600.590.570.760.360.530.520.470.410.44
YoY Growth--1.80%2.85%-24.72%109.53%-30.92%1.80%9.21%15.87%-8.06%8.50%
Dividend Yield--5.81%6.07%6.68%8.51%4.40%7.05%5.61%4.46%4.57%4.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,370.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,485.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,884.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,074.101,296.32777.79
Cash Retained (M)2,884.772,884.772,884.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,074.10-1,296.32-777.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)810.661,588.452,106.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,075.1012,075.1012,075.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.130.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.130.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.750.79
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.40%3.40%4.40%
Fair Value$15.17$21.35$31.43
Upside / Downside53.04%115.47%217.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,370.5210,722.6711,086.7811,463.2511,852.5112,254.9812,622.63
Payout Ratio72.18%75.75%79.31%82.87%86.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,485.768,122.048,792.909,499.9610,244.9111,029.4811,675.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.40%3.40%4.40%
Year 1 PV (M)7,514.867,588.257,661.64
Year 2 PV (M)7,527.387,675.127,824.30
Year 3 PV (M)7,524.697,747.317,974.28
Year 4 PV (M)7,508.117,805.738,112.11
Year 5 PV (M)7,478.827,851.228,238.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)196,238.47206,009.83216,166.61
Equity Value (M)233,792.33244,677.46255,977.24
Shares Outstanding (M)12,075.1012,075.1012,075.10
Fair Value$19.36$20.26$21.20
Upside / Downside95.37%104.47%113.91%

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