Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Meier Tobler Group AG (0QQK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$185.68 - $704.06$541.63
Multi-Stage$103.42 - $113.07$108.16
Blended Fair Value$324.90
Current Price$39.30
Upside726.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%63.57%1.291.241.070.000.000.002.151.311.311.63
YoY Growth--4.15%15.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%64.51%0.00%-20.00%17,268.57%
Dividend Yield--4.57%3.35%2.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%16.82%3.36%3.62%4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.944.962.98
Cash Retained (M)7.847.847.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.94-4.96-2.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.102.884.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.1611.1611.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.260.44
LTM Dividend per Share2.862.862.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.260.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.853.113.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Fair Value$185.68$541.63$704.06
Upside / Downside372.46%1,278.20%1,691.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.7242.0744.5747.2150.0152.9754.56
Payout Ratio80.26%82.21%84.15%86.10%88.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.8734.5837.5040.6544.0347.6850.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Year 1 PV (M)32.1532.4632.77
Year 2 PV (M)32.4233.0433.67
Year 3 PV (M)32.6733.6134.57
Year 4 PV (M)32.9034.1835.49
Year 5 PV (M)33.1234.7336.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)990.751,038.861,088.83
Equity Value (M)1,154.021,206.891,261.73
Shares Outstanding (M)11.1611.1611.16
Fair Value$103.42$108.16$113.07
Upside / Downside163.15%175.21%187.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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