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Definitive Analysis

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Burkhalter Holding AG (0QO2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$967.55 - $2,097.92$1,966.06
Multi-Stage$327.28 - $357.65$342.19
Blended Fair Value$1,154.13
Current Price$130.20
Upside786.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.11%31.76%4.464.202.151.362.092.212.833.112.972.83
YoY Growth--6.20%95.43%58.30%-35.12%-5.18%-22.00%-9.14%4.76%5.03%900.97%
Dividend Yield--4.90%4.53%2.80%2.15%3.16%2.90%3.48%2.45%2.17%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)111.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)98.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.3613.978.38
Cash Retained (M)13.0413.0413.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.36-13.97-8.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)-9.32-0.934.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.6010.6010.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.88-0.090.44
LTM Dividend per Share9.329.329.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.88-0.090.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.449.239.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$967.55$1,966.06$2,097.92
Upside / Downside643.13%1,410.03%1,511.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)111.80119.06126.80135.04143.82153.17157.76
Payout Ratio88.33%88.67%89.00%89.33%89.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)98.75105.57112.85120.64128.96137.85145.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)98.2799.20100.13
Year 2 PV (M)97.7899.65101.53
Year 3 PV (M)97.30100.09102.94
Year 4 PV (M)96.82100.54104.37
Year 5 PV (M)96.34100.99105.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,981.903,125.933,275.47
Equity Value (M)3,468.423,626.413,790.27
Shares Outstanding (M)10.6010.6010.60
Fair Value$327.28$342.19$357.65
Upside / Downside151.37%162.82%174.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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