Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ALSO Holding AG (0QLW.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$253.04 - $450.93$336.41
Multi-Stage$421.05 - $462.11$441.19
Blended Fair Value$388.80
Current Price$287.57
Upside35.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.79%15.05%4.854.634.353.533.192.782.482.181.811.56
YoY Growth--4.97%6.22%23.39%10.76%14.57%11.95%13.81%20.66%15.76%30.83%
Dividend Yield--2.04%1.70%2.53%1.20%1.37%1.82%2.51%1.86%2.20%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)229.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)128.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)101.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.8328.6417.19
Cash Retained (M)101.14101.14101.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.83-28.64-17.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.3172.4983.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.3512.3512.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.485.876.80
LTM Dividend per Share10.3710.3710.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.485.876.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.8516.2417.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate0.76%1.76%2.76%
Fair Value$253.04$336.41$450.93
Upside / Downside-12.01%16.99%56.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)229.15233.19237.30241.49245.74250.08257.58
Payout Ratio55.86%62.69%69.52%76.35%83.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)128.02146.19164.97184.37204.39225.07238.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate0.76%1.76%2.76%
Year 1 PV (M)135.70137.04138.39
Year 2 PV (M)142.13144.97147.83
Year 3 PV (M)147.44151.87156.40
Year 4 PV (M)151.72157.84164.13
Year 5 PV (M)155.08162.93171.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,466.554,692.634,927.77
Equity Value (M)5,198.625,447.285,705.61
Shares Outstanding (M)12.3512.3512.35
Fair Value$421.05$441.19$462.11
Upside / Downside46.42%53.42%60.69%

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