Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Schaffner Holding AG (0QJY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$172.67 - $248.08$209.51
Multi-Stage$275.12 - $302.29$288.44
Blended Fair Value$248.98
Current Price$271.00
Upside-8.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%4.501.002.510.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--349.45%-60.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.68%0.36%1.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.111.951.17
Cash Retained (M)12.0812.0812.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.11-1.95-1.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.9710.1410.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.2016.0517.28
LTM Dividend per Share5.515.515.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.2016.0517.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.7121.5622.79
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$172.67$209.51$248.08
Upside / Downside-36.29%-22.69%-8.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.5615.4115.2515.1014.9514.8015.24
Payout Ratio22.35%35.88%49.41%62.94%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.485.537.549.5011.4313.3214.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.015.065.11
Year 2 PV (M)6.196.326.45
Year 3 PV (M)7.087.307.52
Year 4 PV (M)7.728.048.37
Year 5 PV (M)8.168.589.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)139.62146.89154.46
Equity Value (M)173.79182.20190.95
Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
Fair Value$275.12$288.44$302.29
Upside / Downside1.52%6.44%11.55%

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