Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Adeia Inc. (0M2A.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.00 - $13.55$10.42
Multi-Stage$11.82 - $12.95$12.38
Blended Fair Value$11.40
Current Price$16.80
Upside-32.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.24%-7.67%0.190.191.810.190.270.350.350.350.350.37
YoY Growth--2.01%-89.53%871.52%-31.95%-21.96%0.80%-0.82%0.90%-6.04%-13.77%
Dividend Yield--1.46%1.75%20.37%4.06%4.74%9.51%5.48%6.52%3.86%4.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.689.175.50
Cash Retained (M)34.2834.2834.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.68-9.17-5.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.6025.1128.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.91112.91112.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Fair Value$8.00$10.42$13.55
Upside / Downside-52.40%-37.99%-19.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.3974.8976.4177.9779.5681.1883.61
Payout Ratio53.29%60.63%67.98%75.32%82.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.1145.4151.9458.7265.7673.0677.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)41.7842.2042.61
Year 2 PV (M)43.9844.8645.74
Year 3 PV (M)45.7647.1348.53
Year 4 PV (M)47.1549.0451.00
Year 5 PV (M)48.2050.6453.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,107.491,163.391,221.53
Equity Value (M)1,334.371,397.261,462.57
Shares Outstanding (M)112.91112.91112.91
Fair Value$11.82$12.38$12.95
Upside / Downside-29.65%-26.34%-22.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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