Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (0J66.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.11 - $11.86$9.92
Multi-Stage$13.55 - $14.81$14.17
Blended Fair Value$12.04
Current Price$17.02
Upside-29.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.42%4.62%1.060.790.220.000.460.890.900.900.860.93
YoY Growth--34.73%264.67%0.00%-100.00%-48.64%-0.95%0.16%5.37%-7.74%37.74%
Dividend Yield--7.44%3.79%1.31%0.00%2.73%8.10%4.68%4.84%4.58%5.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)738.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)625.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)113.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)147.6092.2555.35
Cash Retained (M)113.00113.00113.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-147.60-92.25-55.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-34.6020.7557.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)696.75696.75696.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.030.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.030.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-1.23%-0.23%0.77%
Fair Value$8.11$9.92$11.86
Upside / Downside-52.37%-41.73%-30.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)738.00736.33734.67733.01731.36729.70751.60
Payout Ratio84.69%85.75%86.81%87.88%88.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)625.00631.41637.79644.14650.45656.73695.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-1.23%-0.23%0.77%
Year 1 PV (M)572.96578.76584.56
Year 2 PV (M)525.16535.85546.65
Year 3 PV (M)481.29496.05511.12
Year 4 PV (M)441.01459.14477.83
Year 5 PV (M)404.05424.92446.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,014.247,376.577,753.72
Equity Value (M)9,438.719,871.2910,320.51
Shares Outstanding (M)696.75696.75696.75
Fair Value$13.55$14.17$14.81
Upside / Downside-20.41%-16.76%-12.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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